Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.168180 3.659957 4.204711 4.853247 5.604836 6.449093 7.470352
2024-10-20 2.470355 3.100486 3.859349 4.841961 6.082967 7.601387 9.605307
2024-10-27 1.889209 2.546856 3.398163 4.583878 6.197918 8.326061 11.358154
2024-11-03 1.623092 2.333626 3.315287 4.775941 6.904348 9.908647 14.500019
2024-11-10 1.438709 2.192757 3.297931 5.044340 7.752437 11.821288 18.453998
2024-11-17 1.256335 2.018686 3.197533 5.165234 8.394724 13.532368 22.418835
2024-11-24 1.087476 1.833627 3.045290 5.171847 8.848887 15.014626 26.279881
2024-12-01 0.917203 1.615982 2.802548 4.982961 8.937896 15.898499 29.275351
2024-12-08 0.775485 1.422812 2.568304 4.764730 8.929613 16.597251 32.044353
2024-12-15 0.699721 1.334548 2.503173 4.837363 9.456604 18.337793 37.063929
2024-12-22 0.612092 1.210010 2.351666 4.720035 9.596693 19.359354 40.838896
2024-12-29 0.581446 1.190687 2.396603 4.993629 10.555234 22.143866 48.741857
2025-01-05 0.536548 1.138840 2.375477 5.142208 11.309719 24.698360 56.790127
2025-01-12 0.486230 1.068020 2.305179 5.176232 11.827800 26.848248 64.391047
2025-01-19 0.419672 0.951699 2.120595 4.927501 11.669158 27.466220 68.533966
2025-01-26 0.397018 0.930119 2.141116 5.152634 12.658150 30.925679 80.378927
2025-02-02 0.381187 0.921798 2.190456 5.455025 13.890933 35.201450 95.234863
2025-02-09 0.356367 0.887982 2.174497 5.593955 14.738765 38.672076 108.700186
2025-02-16 0.327102 0.838553 2.112947 5.606142 15.258809 41.388765 120.668294
2025-02-23 0.290445 0.764593 1.978713 5.404016 15.163770 42.434325 128.046231
2025-03-02 0.256837 0.693442 1.840923 5.168690 14.933015 43.058164 134.295359
2025-03-09 0.240639 0.666775 1.817068 5.248826 15.627124 46.471721 149.975740
2025-03-16 0.217807 0.618286 1.726625 5.121973 15.684784 48.013300 160.002599